Assessing Whether Caterpillar Inc (NYSE: CAT) Is Over- Or Undervalued

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) concluded trading on Thursday at a closing price of $353.70, with 3.55 million shares of worth about $1.25 billion changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained positive as price took a surge of 4.40% during that period and on February 13, 2025 the price saw a gain of about 0.47%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 482.80M shares, out of which, 481.86M shares are available for trading.

Stock saw a price change of -3.22% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of -4.81%. Year-to-date (YTD), CAT shares are showing a performance of -2.50% which increased to 9.97% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $307.05 but also hit the highest price of $418.50 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for Caterpillar Inc shares is 2.10 million. The stock is currently trading -6.23% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is down -5.84% for SMA50 and it goes to -2.18% lower than SMA200.

Caterpillar Inc (NYSE: CAT) currently have 482.80M outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 71.96% of that.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $170.77B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 1.13. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 16.03, while it has posted earnings per share of $22.07 in the same period. Its PEG reads 4.58 and has Quick Ratio of 0.90 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for CAT, volatility over the week remained 1.67% while standing at 1.94% over the month.

Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to drop by -6.36% while it is estimated to increase by 11.84% in next year. EPS is likely to shrink at an annualized rate of 3.50% for next 5-years, compared to annual growth of 15.48% made by the stock over the past 5-years.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by UBS on February 03, 2025 offering a Neutral rating for the stock and assigned a target price range of between $355 and $385 to it. Coverage by Evercore ISI stated Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock as an In-line in their note to investors on January 13, 2025, suggesting a price target of $365 for the stock. On November 13, 2024, Evercore ISI Downgrade their recommendations, while on October 14, 2024, Morgan Stanley Downgrade their ratings for the stock with a price target of $332. Stock get a Mkt perform rating from Raymond James on June 28, 2024.

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