Assessing Whether Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) Is Over- Or Undervalued

Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) concluded trading on Wednesday at a closing price of $62.65, with 4.1 million shares of worth about $256.67 million changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained negative as price took a plunge of -15.57% during that period and on April 3, 2024 the price saw a loss of about -0.08%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 513.00M shares, out of which, 505.70M shares are available for trading.

Stock saw a price change of 1.34% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of 17.72%. Year-to-date (YTD), ADM shares are showing a performance of -13.25% which decreased to -21.35% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $50.72 but also hit the highest price of $87.30 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for Archer Daniels Midland Co. shares is 6.65 million. The stock is currently trading 5.57% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is up 12.19% for SMA50 and it goes to -11.98% lower than SMA200.

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Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) currently have 513.00M outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 83.18% of that.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $31.94B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 0.77. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 9.78, while it has posted earnings per share of $6.41 in the same period. It has Quick Ratio of 0.95 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for ADM, volatility over the week remained 1.55% while standing at 2.26% over the month.

Analysts are in expectations that Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) stock would likely to be making an EPS of $1.38 in the current quarter, while forecast for next quarter EPS is $1.39 and it is $5.72 for next year. For the current quarter EPS, analysts have given the company a lowest target $1.2 which is $1.53 at the higher side of the target for the same. When we compare those targets with actual EPS, we find that company posted an EPS of $2.09 in the same quarter a year ago. Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to drop by -18.67% while it is estimated to increase by 3.07% in next year. EPS is likely to shrink at an annualized rate of -1.40% for next 5-years, compared to annual growth of 15.02% made by the stock over the past 5-years.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by Citigroup on February 01, 2024 offering a Neutral rating for the stock and assigned a target price of $57 to it. On January 22, 2024, Stifel Downgrade their recommendations, while on January 22, 2024, ROTH MKM Downgrade their ratings for the stock with a price target of $66. Stock get a Neutral rating from Robert W. Baird on January 22, 2024.

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