Assessing Whether YPF ADR (NYSE: YPF) Is Over- Or Undervalued

YPF ADR (YPF) concluded trading on Thursday at a closing price of $20.19, with 3.6 million shares of worth about $72.73 million changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained positive as price took a surge of 57.86% during that period and on March 21, 2024 the price saw a gain of about 4.29%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 393.26M shares, out of which, 393.03M shares are available for trading.

However, the stock later moved at a day high price of 20.32, or with a gain of 4.29%. Stock saw a price change of 12.17% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of 19.04%. Year-to-date (YTD), YPF shares are showing a performance of 17.45% which increased to 105.60% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $9.29 but also hit the highest price of $19.68 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for YPF ADR shares is 2.43 million. The stock is currently trading 11.58% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is up 18.00% for SMA50 and it goes to 36.51% higher than SMA200.

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YPF ADR (NYSE: YPF) currently have 393.26M outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 10.63% of that.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $7.94B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 1.89. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 8.80, while it has posted earnings per share of $2.29 in the same period. It has Quick Ratio of 0.60 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for YPF, volatility over the week remained 4.64% while standing at 4.21% over the month.

Analysts are in expectations that YPF ADR (YPF) stock would likely to be making an EPS of $0.45 in the current quarter, while forecast for next quarter EPS is $0.82 and it is $4.5 for next year. For the current quarter EPS, analysts have given the company a lowest target $0.1 which is $0.81 at the higher side of the target for the same. When we compare those targets with actual EPS, we find that company posted an EPS of $0.78 in the same quarter a year ago. Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to rise by 213.33% while it is estimated to increase by 38.39% in next year. EPS is likely to shrink at an annualized rate of -11.10% for next 5-years, compared to annual growth of 24.64% made by the stock over the past 5-years.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by Morgan Stanley on Mar-22-24 offering an Equal-weight rating for the stock and assigned a target price range of between $10.50 and $22 to it. Coverage by UBS stated YPF ADR (YPF) stock as a Buy in their note to investors on February 22, 2024, suggesting a price target of $27 for the stock. Stock get a Neutral rating from Goldman on November 27, 2023.

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