Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ: VLY): Reassessing Prospects

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) concluded trading on Thursady at a closing price of $8.47, with 5.62 million shares of worth about $47.63 million changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained negative as price took a plunge of -0.94% during that period and on Thursady the price saw a gain of about 2.29%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 507.71M shares, out of which, 427.64M shares are available for trading.

According to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), insiders took part in trade of the company’s stock for 43 times over the past 12 months. They bought 384,687 shares in 40 of the transactions. In 3 selling transactions, insiders dumped 119,070 shares.

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Stock saw a price change of 1.44% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of -20.24%. Year-to-date (YTD), VLY shares are showing a performance of -22.01% which decreased to -28.94% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $6.39 but also hit the highest price of $11.98 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for Valley National Bancorp shares is 4.90 million. The stock is currently trading -6.45% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is down -15.02% for SMA50 and it goes to -4.52% lower than SMA200.

Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ: VLY) currently have 507.71M outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 61.61% of that.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $4.30B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 1.14. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 8.96, while it has posted earnings per share of $0.94 in the same period. Its PEG reads 1.79 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for VLY, volatility over the week remained 3.07% while standing at 5.94% over the month.

Analysts are in expectations that Valley National Bancorp (VLY) stock would likely to be making an EPS of $0.21 in the current quarter, while forecast for next quarter EPS is $0.24 and it is $1.2 for next year. For the current quarter EPS, analysts have given the company a lowest target $0.2 which is $0.23 at the higher side of the target for the same. When we compare those targets with actual EPS, we find that company posted an EPS of $0.3 in the same quarter a year ago. Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to drop by -5.19% while it is estimated to increase by 19.60% in next year. EPS is likely to grow at an annualized rate of 5.00% for next 5-years, compared to annual growth of 4.91% made by the stock over the past 5-years.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by Citigroup on December 01, 2023 offering a Neutral rating for the stock and assigned a target price of $9.50 to it. Coverage by JP Morgan stated Valley National Bancorp (VLY) stock as a Neutral in their note to investors on October 30, 2023, suggesting a price target of $10 for the stock. On September 27, 2023, Morgan Stanley Downgrade their recommendations, while on September 05, 2023, Hovde Group Upgrade their ratings for the stock with a price target of $11.50. Stock get a Market perform rating from Hovde Group on August 01, 2023.

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