Geron Corp. (GERN): Street Finally Waking Up

RA Capital Management LP recently announced the acquisition of new stake in Geron Corp. (NASDAQ:GERN). The institutional investor has increased its shareholding in the Healthcare company by 46.47% to 46.2 million shares with purchase of 14.66 million shares. This fresh investment now brings its stake to 8.51% valued currently at $89.17 million. In addition, BlackRock Fund Advisors raised its holdings by 0.96 million to 33.1 million shares. And Deep Track Capital LP has lifted its position by 6.33% or 1.53 million shares – to 25.7 million shares.

With over 4.25 million Geron Corp. (GERN) shares trading Tuesday and a closing price of $2.11 on the day, the dollar volume was approximately $8.96 million. The shares have shown a negative half year performance of -32.80% and its price on 01/09/24 lost nearly -1.86%. Currently, there are 543.06M common shares owned by the public and among those 459.29M shares have been available to trade.

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An analysis of what Wall Street brokers have to say about the expected price targets for this stock gives us this picture: 6 analysts who have offered their price forecasts for GERN have a consensus price objective of $4.83. The analysts have set the share’s price value over the next 12 months at a high of $6.00 and a low of $4.00. The average price target is 56.31% above its recent price level and an upside to the estimated low will see the stock gain 47.25% over that period. But an upside of 64.83% will see the stock hit the forecast high price target while median target price for the stock is $5.00.

Insiders at the company have transacted a total of 25 times over the past 12 months, according to data filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 17 of these insider trades were purchases, accounting for 2,041,021 shares. Insider sales of the common stock occurred on 8 occasions, with total insider shares sold totaling 2,194,719 shares.

The top 3 mutual fund holders in Geron Corp. are SPDR S&P Biotech ETF, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF, and iShares Russell 2000 ETF. SPDR S&P Biotech ETF owns 16.72 million shares of the company’s stock, all valued at over $32.27 million. The company bought an additional 77910.0 shares recently to bring their total holdings to about 3.08% of the shares outstanding. iShares Russell 2000 ETF bought 5895.0 shares to bring its total holdings to over 11.99 million shares at a value of $23.14 million. iShares Russell 2000 ETF now owns shares totaling to 2.21% of the shares outstanding.

Shares of Geron Corp. (NASDAQ: GERN) opened at $2.11, down -$0.04 from a prior closing price of $2.15. However, the script later moved the day high at 2.1550, down -1.86%. The company’s stock has a 5-day price change of -1.40% and 16.57% over the past three months. GERN shares are trading 0.00% year to date (YTD), with the 12-month market performance down to -15.60% lower. It has a 12-month low price of $1.68 and touched a high of $3.73 over the same period. GERN has an average intraday trading volume of 5.37 million shares. The stock is trading above its simple moving averages at the SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, as the current price level is off by -1.47%, 5.53%, and -14.91% respectively.

Institutional ownership of Geron Corp. (NASDAQ: GERN) shares accounts for 53.88% of the company’s 543.06M shares outstanding. Mutual fund holders own 21.64%, while other institutional holders and individual stakeholders account for 32.25% and 1.89% respectively.

It has a market capitalization of $1.15B and a beta (3y monthly) value of 0.57. The earnings-per-share (ttm) stands at -$0.34. Price movements for the stock have been influenced by the stock’s volatility, which stands at 7.23% over the week and 6.49% over the month.

Analysts forecast that Geron Corp. (GERN) will achieve an EPS of $Gen Digital Inc. for the current quarter, $22.56 for the next quarter and $Stocks for Type. The lowest estimate earnings-per-share for the quarter is $Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. while analysts give the company a high EPS estimate of $Akerna Corp.. Comparatively, EPS for the current quarter was $Werner Enterprises, Inc. a year ago. Earnings per share for the fiscal year are expected to increase by 7.21%, and -4.37% over the next financial year. EPS should grow at an annualized rate of 5.00% over the next five years, compared to -16.28% over the past 5-year period.

If you are looking to buy this stock, then you may note that the average analyst recommendation by 6 brokerage firm advisors rate Geron Corp. (GERN) as a “Strong Buy” at a consensus score of 1.17. Specifically, 5 Wall Street analysts polled rate the stock as a buy, while 0 of the 6 advise that investors “hold,” and 0 rated it as a “Sell.”

Looking at the support for the GERN, a number of firms have released research notes about the stock. Goldman stated their Buy rating for the stock in a research note on September 12, 2023, with the firm’s price target at $4.

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