Reviewing The Case For AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) Going Higher

With over 11.78 million AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) shares trading Friday and a closing price of $9.81 on the day, the dollar volume was approximately $115.57 million. The shares have shown a negative half year performance of -3.16% and its price on 12/29/23 lost nearly -2.49%. Currently, there are 671.11M common shares owned by the public and among those 665.86M shares have been available to trade.

An analysis of what Wall Street brokers have to say about the expected price targets for this stock gives us this picture: 12 analysts who have offered their price forecasts for AGNC have a consensus price objective of $8.98. The analysts have set the share’s price value over the next 12 months at a high of $10.50 and a low of $7.50. The average price target is -9.36% below its recent price level and a downside to the estimated low will see the stock lose -30.8% over that period. But an upside of 6.57% will see the stock hit the forecast high price target while median target price for the stock is $8.88.

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Insiders at the company have transacted a total of 40 times over the past 12 months, according to data filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 19 of these insider trades were purchases, accounting for 832,830 shares. Insider sales of the common stock occurred on 21 occasions, with total insider shares sold totaling 349,182 shares.

Shares of AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ: AGNC) opened at $9.93, down -$0.13 from a prior closing price of $10.06. However, the script later moved the day high at 10.02, down -2.49%. The company’s stock has a 5-day price change of -1.11% and 3.92% over the past three months. AGNC shares are trading -5.22% year to date (YTD), with the 12-month market performance down to -5.76% lower. It has a 12-month low price of $6.81 and touched a high of $12.25 over the same period. AGNC has an average intraday trading volume of 16.73 million shares. The stock is trading above its simple moving averages at the SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, as the current price level is off by 3.72%, 12.43%, and 3.38% respectively.

Institutional ownership of AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ: AGNC) shares accounts for 39.64% of the company’s 671.11M shares outstanding.

It has a market capitalization of $6.58B and a beta (3y monthly) value of 1.42. The stock’s trailing 12-month PE ratio is 26.74, while the earnings-per-share (ttm) stands at $0.37. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio at 8.22. Price movements for the stock have been influenced by the stock’s volatility, which stands at 1.36% over the week and 2.15% over the month.

Analysts forecast that AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) will achieve an EPS of $0.58 for the current quarter, $0.55 for the next quarter and $2.15 for 2024. The lowest estimate earnings-per-share for the quarter is $0.37 while analysts give the company a high EPS estimate of $0.65. Comparatively, EPS for the current quarter was $0.74 a year ago. Earnings per share for the fiscal year are expected to decrease by -16.30%, and -17.88% over the next financial year.

If you are looking to buy this stock, then you may note that the average analyst recommendation by 12 brokerage firm advisors rate AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) as a “Moderate Buy” at a consensus score of 2.00. Specifically, 6 Wall Street analysts polled rate the stock as a buy, while 6 of the 12 advise that investors “hold,” and 0 rated it as a “Sell.”

Looking at the support for the AGNC, a number of firms have released research notes about the stock. UBS stated their Neutral rating for the stock in a research note on December 06, 2023, with the firm’s price target at $9.

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