Assessing Whether Southern Company (NYSE: SO) Is Over- Or Undervalued

The Vanguard Group, Inc. has recently announced that it has increased stake in Southern Company (NYSE:SO) by 0.33%. After grabbing 94.52 million shares, the institutional investor is now in possession of 0.31 million shares of the Utilities Company. The new investment brought the stake of investor firm to 8.67% having worth around $6.71 billion. Moreover, SSgA Funds Management, Inc. increased its share by 0.18 million to have a control over 62.8 million shares. And BlackRock Fund Advisors raised its holdings to 0.14 million shares by acquiring 60.34 million shares or 5.53% of the stake.

Southern Company (SO) concluded trading on December 20, 2023 at a closing price of $69.69, with 4.36 million shares of worth about $303.74 million changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained negative as price took a plunge of -2.26% during that period and On Wednesday the price saw a loss of about -2.20%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 1.10B shares, out of which, 1.09B shares are available for trading.

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According to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), insiders took part in trade of the company’s stock for 137 times over the past 12 months. They bought 713,323 shares in 58 of the transactions. In 79 selling transactions, insiders dumped 632,504 shares.

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF, Vanguard 500 Index Fund, and SPDR Series – Utilities Select Se are the top 3 mutual funds which are holding stakes in Southern Company Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is currently holding 34.19 million shares of worth totaling $2.43 billion. The company recently came buying 0.17 million shares which brought its stake up to 3.14% of the company’s outstanding shares. Vanguard 500 Index Fund bought 0.12 million shares, after which its hold over company’s outstanding shares expand to 2.41%, leaving 26.33 million shares with the mutual fund that have a worth of about $1.87 billion. SPDR Series – Utilities Select Se, after buying 16.53 million shares, have now control over 1.52% of the stake in the company. It holds 63393.0 shares of worth $1.17 billion.

However, the stock later moved at a day high price of 71.44, or with a loss of -2.20%. Stock saw a price change of -4.64% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of 0.36%. Year-to-date (YTD), SO shares are showing a performance of -2.41% which increased to 1.13% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $58.85 but also hit the highest price of $75.80 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for Southern Company shares is 4.65 million. The stock is currently trading -1.84% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is up 0.95% for SMA50 and it goes to 0.04% higher than SMA200.

The Vanguard Group, Inc. acquired 94.52 million shares of Southern Company having value of about $6.71 billion. Data submitted at the U.S SEC by The Vanguard Group, Inc. revealed that the firm now holds 0.31 million shares in the company valued at close to $21591913.32, or have control over 0.33% stake in the company. Southern Company (NYSE: SO) currently have 1.10B outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 63.96% of that. Holding of mutual funds in the company is about 25.56% while other institutional holders and individual stake holders have control over 38.53% and 0.29% of the stake respectively.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $76.01B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 0.53. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 25.23, while it has posted earnings per share of $2.76 in the same period. Its PEG reads 3.55 and has Quick Ratio of 0.60 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for SO, volatility over the week remained 1.92% while standing at 1.65% over the month.

Analysts are in expectations that Southern Company (SO) stock would likely to be making an EPS of $0.61 in the current quarter, while forecast for next quarter EPS is $0.94 and it is $4.03 for next year. For the current quarter EPS, analysts have given the company a lowest target $0.57 which is $0.71 at the higher side of the target for the same. When we compare those targets with actual EPS, we find that company posted an EPS of $0.26 in the same quarter a year ago. Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to rise by 0.05% while it is estimated to increase by 11.96% in next year. EPS is likely to shrink at an annualized rate of 7.10% for next 5-years, compared to annual growth of 31.16% made by the stock over the past 5-years.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by Citigroup on December 08, 2023 offering a Buy rating for the stock and assigned a target price of $82 to it.

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