Gains May Be On The Menu For Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE: ALK)

The Vanguard Group, Inc. recently announced the acquisition of new stake in Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE:ALK). The institutional investor has increased its shareholding in the Industrials company by 0.39% to 14.09 million shares with purchase of 54614.0 shares. This fresh investment now brings its stake to 11.00% valued currently at $532.74 million. In addition, BlackRock Fund Advisors raised its holdings by 42612.0 to 6.19 million shares. And Dimensional Fund Advisors LP has lifted its position by 12.59% or 0.53 million shares – to 4.78 million shares.

With over 33.77 million Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) shares trading Friday and a closing price of $38.95 on the day, the dollar volume was approximately $1.32 billion. The shares have shown a negative half year performance of -22.75% and its price on 12/15/23 lost nearly -0.54%. Currently, there are 128.05M common shares owned by the public and among those 127.62M shares have been available to trade.

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An analysis of what Wall Street brokers have to say about the expected price targets for this stock gives us this picture: 14 analysts who have offered their price forecasts for ALK have a consensus price objective of $50.27. The analysts have set the share’s price value over the next 12 months at a high of $70.00 and a low of $39.00. The average price target is 22.52% above its recent price level and an upside to the estimated low will see the stock gain 0.13% over that period. But an upside of 44.36% will see the stock hit the forecast high price target while median target price for the stock is $48.00.

Insiders at the company have transacted a total of 75 times over the past 12 months, according to data filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 41 of these insider trades were purchases, accounting for 100,557 shares. Insider sales of the common stock occurred on 34 occasions, with total insider shares sold totaling 38,237 shares.

The top 3 mutual fund holders in Alaska Air Group Inc. are Victory Sycamore Established Valu, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF, and Vanguard PRIMECAP Fund. Victory Sycamore Established Valu owns 5.42 million shares of the company’s stock, all valued at over $204.93 million. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF bought 6785.0 shares to see its total holdings expand to 3.98 million shares valued at over $150.59 million and representing 3.11% of the shares outstanding. Vanguard PRIMECAP Fund sold 520.0 shares to bring its total holdings to over 3.3 million shares at a value of $124.71 million. Vanguard PRIMECAP Fund now owns shares totaling to 2.58% of the shares outstanding.

Shares of Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE: ALK) opened at $38.94, down -$0.22 from a prior closing price of $39.16. The company’s stock has a 5-day price change of 9.38% and 0.18% over the past three months. ALK shares are trading -9.29% year to date (YTD), with the 12-month market performance down to -14.84% lower. It has a 12-month low price of $30.75 and touched a high of $57.18 over the same period. ALK has an average intraday trading volume of 2.99 million shares. The stock is trading above its simple moving averages at the SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, as the current price level is off by 5.62%, 11.99%, and -7.92% respectively.

Institutional ownership of Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE: ALK) shares accounts for 78.33% of the company’s 128.05M shares outstanding. Mutual fund holders own 26.47%, while other institutional holders and individual stakeholders account for 52.15% and 0.97% respectively.

It has a market capitalization of $4.99B and a beta (3y monthly) value of 1.61. The stock’s trailing 12-month PE ratio is 19.52, while the earnings-per-share (ttm) stands at $2.00. The company has a PEG of 1.16 and a Quick Ratio of 0.69 with the debt-to-equity ratio at 1.01. Price movements for the stock have been influenced by the stock’s volatility, which stands at 3.99% over the week and 3.29% over the month.

Analysts forecast that Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) will achieve an EPS of $0.22 for the current quarter, -$0.67 for the next quarter and $5.05 for 2024. The lowest estimate earnings-per-share for the quarter is $0.14 while analysts give the company a high EPS estimate of $0.3. Comparatively, EPS for the current quarter was $0.92 a year ago. Earnings per share for the fiscal year are expected to increase by 3.31%, and 9.63% over the next financial year. EPS should grow at an annualized rate of 16.84% over the next five years, compared to -43.32% over the past 5-year period.

If you are looking to buy this stock, then you may note that the average analyst recommendation by 14 brokerage firm advisors rate Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) as a “Strong Buy” at a consensus score of 1.57. Specifically, 10 Wall Street analysts polled rate the stock as a buy, while 4 of the 14 advise that investors “hold,” and 0 rated it as a “Sell.”

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