Assessing Whether NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ: NXPI) Is Over- Or Undervalued

Fidelity Management & Research Co has recently announced that it has increased stake in NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ:NXPI) by 0.97%. After grabbing 23.25 million shares, the institutional investor is now in possession of 0.22 million shares of the Technology Company. The new investment brought the stake of investor firm to 9.02% having worth around $4.01 billion. Moreover, T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. increased its share by 4.35 million to have a control over 8.18 million shares. And Geode Capital Management LLC raised its holdings to 57681.0 shares by acquiring 4.78 million shares or 1.85% of the stake.

NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) concluded trading on 12/07/23 at a closing price of $211.70, with 2.49 million shares of worth about $526.62 million changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained positive as price took a surge of 12.93% during that period and on Thursday the price saw a gain of about 2.81%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 259.46M shares, out of which, 257.36M shares are available for trading.

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A deeper look into what the analysts at Wall Street are thinking about the price target of this stock provides us with the following: 29 analysts are covering the NXPI stock and their offered price forecasts bring an average price target of $222.33. Over the next 12 months, analysts forecasted that the stock’s price could jump as high as $260.00 and could fall to a lowest price of $150.00. The stock’s current price level is 4.78% above of average price target set by the analysts, while a rise to estimated low would result in loss of -41.13% for the stock. However, touching the estimated high of $260.00 would mean a gain of 18.58% for the stock.

According to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), insiders took part in trade of the company’s stock for 80 times over the past 12 months. They bought 212,781 shares in 36 of the transactions. In 44 selling transactions, insiders dumped 158,025 shares.

Vanguard 500 Index Fund, Fidelity Select Port. – Semicondu, and Invesco QQQ Trust are the top 3 mutual funds which are holding stakes in NXP Semiconductors NV Vanguard 500 Index Fund is currently holding 6.23 million shares of worth totaling $1.07 billion. The company recently came buying 31013.0 shares which brought its stake up to 2.42% of the company’s outstanding shares. Invesco QQQ Trust, after selling 4.45 million shares, have now control over 1.73% of the stake in the company. It holds 800.0 shares of worth $766.69 million.

NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ: NXPI) started trading at $207.80, above $1.88 from concluding price of the previous day. However, the stock later moved at a day high price of 213.13, or with a gain of 2.81%. Stock saw a price change of 3.73% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of 13.94%. Year-to-date (YTD), NXPI shares are showing a performance of 33.96% which increased to 29.81% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $150.90 but also hit the highest price of $225.57 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for NXP Semiconductors NV shares is 2.03 million. The stock is currently trading 6.71% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is up 9.56% for SMA50 and it goes to 11.05% higher than SMA200.

Fidelity Management & Research Co acquired 23.25 million shares of NXP Semiconductors NV having value of about $4.01 billion. Data submitted at the U.S SEC by Fidelity Management & Research Co revealed that the firm now holds 0.22 million shares in the company valued at close to $47035506.0, or have control over 0.97% stake in the company. NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ: NXPI) currently have 259.46M outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 92.64% of that. Holding of mutual funds in the company is about 32.45% while other institutional holders and individual stake holders have control over 60.99% and 0.53% of the stake respectively.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $54.57B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 1.59. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 19.60, while it has posted earnings per share of $10.80 in the same period. Its PEG reads 2.50 and has Quick Ratio of 1.38 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for NXPI, volatility over the week remained 2.17% while standing at 2.25% over the month.

Analysts are in expectations that NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) stock would likely to be making an EPS of $3.64 in the current quarter, while forecast for next quarter EPS is $3.22 and it is $14.5 for next year. For the current quarter EPS, analysts have given the company a lowest target $3.24 which is $3.78 at the higher side of the target for the same. When we compare those targets with actual EPS, we find that company posted an EPS of $3.63 in the same quarter a year ago. Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to drop by -3.41% while it is estimated to increase by 4.72% in next year. EPS is likely to shrink at an annualized rate of 7.84% for next 5-years, compared to annual growth of 10.23% made by the stock over the past 5-years.

Analysts at 29 brokerage firms have issued recommendations for the NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI)’s stock and average of those rates the stock at a “Moderate Buy” and assign it a score of 2.14. Out of those 29 Wall Street analysts, 12 recommended a “Buy” rating, while 13 were in favor recommending the stock as a “Hold” and 1 analyst recommended the stock as “Sell”.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by TD Cowen on December 05, 2023 offering an Outperform rating for the stock and assigned a target price range of between $240 and $250 to it.

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