Applovin Corp (NASDAQ: APP) Not A Good Play Anymore?

GQG Partners LLC has recently announced that it has increased stake in Applovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP) by 72.97%. After grabbing 26.08 million shares, the institutional investor is now in possession of 11.0 million shares of the Technology Company. The new investment brought the stake of investor firm to 9.43% having worth around $950.44 million. Moreover, The Vanguard Group, Inc. increased its share by 1.41 million to have a control over 17.88 million shares. And Geode Capital Management LLC raised its holdings to 52634.0 shares by acquiring 2.52 million shares or 0.91% of the stake.

Applovin Corp (APP) concluded trading on 11/30/23 at a closing price of $37.48, with 4.03 million shares of worth about $151.19 million changed hands on the day. Half year performance of the stock remained positive as price took a surge of 50.95% during that period and on Thursday the price saw a loss of about -3.97%. Currently the company’s common shares owned by public are about 302.71M shares, out of which, 139.77M shares are available for trading.

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A deeper look into what the analysts at Wall Street are thinking about the price target of this stock provides us with the following: 20 analysts are covering the APP stock and their offered price forecasts bring an average price target of $50.83. Over the next 12 months, analysts forecasted that the stock’s price could jump as high as $60.00 and could fall to a lowest price of $28.00. The stock’s current price level is 26.26% above of average price target set by the analysts, while a rise to estimated low would result in loss of -33.86% for the stock. However, touching the estimated high of $60.00 would mean a gain of 37.53% for the stock.

According to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), insiders took part in trade of the company’s stock for 109 times over the past 12 months. They bought 17,539,071 shares in 24 of the transactions. In 85 selling transactions, insiders dumped 144,328,588 shares.

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF, Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund, and Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index F are the top 3 mutual funds which are holding stakes in Applovin Corp Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is currently holding 6.05 million shares of worth totaling $220.37 million. The company recently came buying 10081.0 shares which brought its stake up to 2.19% of the company’s outstanding shares. Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund bought 10732.0 shares, after which its hold over company’s outstanding shares expand to 1.81%, leaving 4.99 million shares with the mutual fund that have a worth of about $181.99 million. Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index F, after buying 2.79 million shares, have now control over 1.01% of the stake in the company. It holds 4634.0 shares of worth $101.68 million.

Applovin Corp (NASDAQ: APP) started trading at $38.93, below -$0.1 from concluding price of the previous day. However, the stock later moved at a day high price of 39.50, or with a loss of -3.97%. Stock saw a price change of -4.49% in past 5 days and over the past one month there was a price change of 2.85%. Year-to-date (YTD), APP shares are showing a performance of 255.94% which increased to 178.87% when we look at its performance for past 12 months. Over the period of past 52 weeks, stock dropped to lowest price of $9.14 but also hit the highest price of $45.10 during that period. The average intraday trading volume for Applovin Corp shares is 2.74 million. The stock is currently trading -5.56% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20), while that difference is down -4.25% for SMA50 and it goes to 33.24% higher than SMA200.

GQG Partners LLC acquired 26.08 million shares of Applovin Corp having value of about $950.44 million. Data submitted at the U.S SEC by GQG Partners LLC revealed that the firm now holds 11.0 million shares in the company valued at close to $412416239.8, or have control over 72.97% stake in the company. Applovin Corp (NASDAQ: APP) currently have 302.71M outstanding shares and institutions hold larger chunk of about 38.33% of that. Holding of mutual funds in the company is about 28.72% while other institutional holders and individual stake holders have control over 41.46% and 17.86% of the stake respectively.

The stock has a current market capitalization of $12.59B and its 3Y-monthly beta is at 1.74. PE ratio of stock for trailing 12 months is 127.31, while it has posted earnings per share of $0.29 in the same period. It has Quick Ratio of 1.61 while making debt-to-equity ratio of 2.91. Volatility of a stock is a metric used to know how much the price of that stock is under influence and for APP, volatility over the week remained 4.28% while standing at 5.32% over the month.

Analysts are in expectations that Applovin Corp (APP) stock would likely to be making an EPS of $Applied Materials, Inc. in the current quarter, while forecast for next quarter EPS is $149.78 and it is $Stocks for next year. For the current quarter EPS, analysts have given the company a lowest target $American Express Company which is $Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. at the higher side of the target for the same. When we compare those targets with actual EPS, we find that company posted an EPS of $APA Corporation in the same quarter a year ago. Stock’s fiscal year EPS is expected to rise by 263.24% while it is estimated to increase by 85.47% in next year.

Analysts at 20 brokerage firms have issued recommendations for the Applovin Corp (APP)’s stock and average of those rates the stock at a “Strong Buy” and assign it a score of 1.80. Out of those 20 Wall Street analysts, 13 recommended a “Buy” rating, while 6 were in favor recommending the stock as a “Hold” and 1 analyst recommended the stock as “Sell”.

Digging deeper we find that several firms have released their research notes about the support levels of the stock. Most recent of them is a note released by Jefferies on August 22, 2023 offering a Buy rating for the stock and assigned a target price range of between $20 and $50 to it.

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