YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE: YPF): The Best-Of-Breed For Investing?


    Wellington Management Co. LLP recently announced the acquisition of new stake in YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF). The institutional investor has increased its shareholding in the Energy company by 138.03% to 7.72 million shares with purchase of 4.48 million shares. This fresh investment now brings its stake to 1.96% valued currently at $48.12 million. In addition, SSgA Funds Management, Inc. raised its holdings by 0.73 million to 6.28 million shares. And BlackRock Fund Advisors has lifted its position by 17.99% or 0.8 million shares – to 5.23 million shares.

    With over 1.11 million YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) shares trading Tuesday and a closing price of $5.64 on the day, the dollar volume was approximately $6.25 million. The shares have shown a positive weekly performance of 1.62% and its price on 09/01/20 gained nearly 1.08%. Currently, there are 392.39M common shares owned by the public and among those 172.45M shares have been available to trade.

    An analysis of what Wall Street brokers have to say about the expected price targets for this stock gives us this picture: 13 analysts who have offered their price forecasts for YPF have a consensus price objective of $7.02. The analysts have set the share’s price value over the next 12 months at a high of $12.60 and a low of $2.80 should the stock experience a downside. Incidentally, analysts’ outlook for the YPF Sociedad Anonima stock is 3.20 for the next 12 months. The average price target is 26.75% above its last price level and an upside to the estimated low will see the stock lose -101.43% over that period. But an upside of 55.24% will see the stock hit the forecast high price target while mean target price for the stock is $6.87.

    The top 3 mutual fund holders in YPF Sociedad Anonima are Brandes Emerging Markets Value Fu, BlackRock Strategic Fds. – Emergi, and Wellington Mgmt. Fds. (LU) – Emer. Brandes Emerging Markets Value Fu owns 2.42 million shares of the company’s stock, all valued at over $15.05 million. Wellington Mgmt. Fds. (LU) – Emer bought 0.99 million shares to bring its total holdings to over 1.56 million shares at a value of $9.73 million. Wellington Mgmt. Fds. (LU) – Emer now owns shares totaling to 0.40% of the shares outstanding.

    Shares of YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE: YPF) opened at $5.63, up $0.05 from a prior closing price of $5.58. However, the script later closed the day at $5.64, up 1.08%. The company’s stock has a 5-day price change of 1.62% and -1.40% over the past three months. YPF shares are trading -51.30% year to date (YTD), with the 12-month market performance down to -30.63% lower. It has a 12-month low price of $2.25 and touched a high of $12.14 over the same period. Currently, 1.11 million shares have been traded, compared to an average intraday trading volume of 1.64 million shares. The stock is trading above its simple moving averages at the SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, as the current price level is off by -2.68%, -6.54%, and -18.32% respectively.

    Institutional ownership of YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE: YPF) shares accounts for 16.10% of the company’s 392.39M shares outstanding. Mutual fund holders own 11.10%, while other institutional holders and individual stakeholders account for 5.21% and — respectively.

    It has a market capitalization of $3.55B and a beta (3y monthly) value of 1.65. The earnings-per-share (ttm) stands at -$0.68. Price movements for the stock have been influenced by the stock’s volatility, which stands at 5.09% over the week and 5.40% over the month.

    Analysts forecast that YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) will achieve an EPS of -$0.38 for the current quarter, -$0.26 for the next quarter and $0.07 for 2021. The lowest estimate earnings-per-share for the quarter is -$0.73 while analysts give the company a high EPS estimate of $0.09. Comparatively, EPS for the current quarter was -$0.64 a year ago. Earnings per share for the fiscal year are expected to decrease by -176.30%, and 78.20% over the next financial year. EPS should grow at an annualized rate of -6.39% over the next five years, compared to -39.40% over the past 5-year period.

    If you are looking to buy this stock, then you may note that the average analyst recommendation by 13 brokerage firm advisors rate YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) as a “Hold” at a consensus score of 3.20. Specifically, 1 Wall Street analysts polled rate the stock as a buy, while 6 of the 13 advise that investors “hold,” and 4 rated it as a “Sell.”

    Looking at the support for the YPF, a number of firms have released research notes about the stock. HSBC Securities stated their Reduce rating for the stock in a research note on July 24, 2020, with the firm’s price target at. JP Morgan coverage for the YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock in a research note released on June 22, 2020 offered a Underweight rating with a price target of. Citigroup was of a view on April 29, 2020 that the stock is Neutral, while Raymond James gave the stock Outperform rating on March 17, 2020, issuing a price target of. Citigroup on their part issued Sell rating on March 16, 2020.


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